"Moneyball for HR!" — Build the Team, Then Coach It · Thu, Sept 24 · 11:00 AM PT
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Performance-based Hiring
The Adler GroupMoneyball for HR! · September 2026
A Free Live Session with Lou Adler · Thursday, September 24

Your team doesn't have a hiring problem. It has a roster gap.

No coach fills an open spot by signing a generic athlete with the right number of seasons played. They look at the roster, work out what the team can't do, and go get the person who can do it. Hiring works the same way and almost nobody runs it that way — the req describes a person in the abstract, the posting lists attributes, and back comes whoever matches the list.

And then the harder half, the one nobody schedules time for: a great hire is only the start of a great performer. What turns one into the other is a manager who coaches. The same factors that predict the hire are the ones a manager develops afterward — which is how hiring stops being a handoff to HR and becomes the first act of running a team.

Whiteboard: How to build a high-performing team using Moneyball for HR! Six complementary roster roles, hiring the old way versus the new way, and the critical performance metrics that predict on-the-job success.
Six spots, six different jobs. The strategic thinker, the connector, the anchor, the finisher, the disrupter, the one who makes everyone else better. A req that says "5+ years, BS required" can't tell you which one you're missing — and can't tell a candidate which one they'd be.
Lou Adler · Creator of Performance-based Hiring Live Zoom · 60 min · No cost · Thu Sept 24 · 11:00 AM PT
Save My Seat — Sept 24 →
Free · 60 minutes. Built for hiring managers and the people who advise them. Registering puts it on your calendar automatically, with the free Quality of Hire Claude. Can't make it live? Register for the replay.
Moneyball for HR! — The new metrics of individual performance, success and failure. A coach and player reviewing a player profile showing an 82% likelihood of success, alongside the Moneyball for HR Tool Kit: Kaizen Hiring Process Audit, Quality of Hire Calculator, The No BS Guide to Buying HR Tech, The Odds of a Great Hire Predictor, The ROI Business Calculator, Integrated Talent Pool Builder, and Instant Job Analysis.

Scouting reports, not resume screens. The odds of a great hire can be stated as a number before the offer — and so can the odds of a mistake. Seven tools do the measuring; the six factors behind them are the same ones you coach against for the next two years.

§ 01

What changes when you hire to the gap — and coach what you hired

COVERAGE
You find out what the team is actually short ofSix factors, six levels. Most managers discover they've been hiring three more of the strength they already have.
WIDER POOL
The candidate pool gets wider, not narrowerDefine the spot by what has to get done and people from adjacent industries and titles qualify on the work — the ones a keyword screen throws away.
ODDS
The decision comes with a number attachedNot a feeling in the room. A stated likelihood of success, built from evidence anyone on the panel can point to.
FEWER MISSES
Fewer mis-hires, and fewer merely-adequate onesNearly every failure traces to fit and motivation rather than ability — the two things a checklist never tests.
COACHING
The manager gets something to coach withThe six factors don't stop being useful at the offer. They're the first development plan, written before day one.
RAMP · STAY
Faster to full contribution, and they stayPeople stay for managers who grow them. A hire defined as a career move has to be run as one.
50–60% ↓
And the posting spend drops 50–60%One career portal per job family absorbs the per-req buy across every role on it. A side effect, not the point.
The 50–60% figure is a projected range, not a published study — it comes from consolidating per-req posting spend onto one hub. The fit-and-motivation finding is from ~900 tracked placements: of the roughly 75 that failed, almost none failed on ability. We run the arithmetic on your own numbers in the session.
See it working

A real team roster, scored

See a real team roster in action — then use AI and Performance-based Hiring to build one for your team.

Open the sample department report →
§ 02

Every registrant gets the Quality of Hire Claude — free

Odds are only as good as the evidence under them. A panel that agrees someone is "strong" without agreeing on what they're strong at hasn't produced evidence — it has produced a mood. The Quality of Hire Claude audits that the one way it can honestly be audited — by the evidence the interview produced. Feed it your notes or a debrief: it grades the evidence factor by factor, flags where a judgment rests on impression rather than accomplishment, and tells you what to ask next. The decision stays with people.

Install link is in your calendar invite — two minutes. Run it on one real candidate before the 24th and arrive with your own numbers.

The session — 60 minutes

  1. Diagnose the team before you open the req. Which spots are weak, which strengths are already covered, and why "we need another Dave" is usually the wrong answer.
  2. The new metrics of performance, success and failure — define success, not skills. What actually predicts whether someone performs: results, learning agility, initiative, team impact, problem solving, rate of growth. Then instant job analysis turns those into the spot you're filling — what has to get done in the first year, at what scope and scale, on a team of what size.
  3. Finding great team members — the 6×6 Career Portal. How the six factors and six levels turn into a live portal candidates place themselves on and justify with accomplishments, and how that one portal serves every role in the family.
  4. Put a number on it before the offer. Ability : Fit × Motivationn = Results. Predicting the odds of a great hire — and the odds of a mistake — from the evidence the interviews actually produced.
  5. Turning hiring managers into coaches and developers of people. The one that matters most. The six factors don't stop being useful at the offer — they're the development plan. What changes when a manager runs the hire as the first act of coaching rather than a handoff to HR, and why the people you fought hardest to recruit leave when nobody does.
  6. The tool kit, and where to start. The Kaizen hiring audit, the Quality of Hire calculator, the ROI calculator and the talent pool builder — a personal ATS for building great teams. Which one to run first, on which job.
Key takeaway
Great teams aren't assembled, they're coached. Getting the odds right at the offer is the easier half — and it's wasted on a manager who then hands the person a job description and walks away. The metrics that predict a great hire are the same ones that develop a great performer, which makes every hiring manager a coach whether they signed up for it or not.
Reserve your seat

Build the Team, Then Coach It · Thu, Sept 24 · 11:00 AM PT

Free · 60 minutes with Lou Adler. The invite carries the Zoom link plus your free Quality of Hire Claude. Can't make it? We'll send the replay.

✓ You're registered.

The invite is on its way — accept it and you're set. Two things worth doing before the 24th: